Payout

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What is payout?

  • Payout is defined as the length of time required for the cumulate net revenues to equal the initial investment.
    • In other words, payout is the length of time required to get the invested capital back.

What is the Payout Time Method and how is it used to determine the fair-market-value of a petroleum producing property?

  • Using the Payout Time Method, the fair-market-value of the petroleum producing property equals the cumulative undiscounted future net cash flow before tax for the first 2 to 5 years after the property is purchased.
  • Rule of thumb for using payout time method in evaluating petroleum producing properties:
    • The maximum time length considered when using the payout time method is to use no more than one-third of the remaining life of the property.

What are the disadvantages to using the Payout Time Method?

  • There are several disadvantages to using payout as a measure of profitability in the oil and gas industry:
    1. The primary disadvantage of using payout is that it provides no indication about the timing of returns that occur before or after payout.
    2. Payout also does not consider the total profitability of the investment.
    3. Therefore, payout by itself is insufficient to evaluate an investment opportunity. Payout must be used in concert with other measures such as Net-Present-Value, rate of return, and profit to investment ratio in order to evaluate a net cash flow stream properly.
  • For most oil and gas projects, an acceptable payout period is in the range of 2 to 5 years.
  • In conclusion, the inherent problem with payout is that it does not consider the timing of returns or the total profit from the oil and gas project.

Rule-of-Thumb for applying the payout valuation method

  • A rule of thumb for the maximum time length considered with the payout method is no more than one-third of the remaining life of the oil and gas property.
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